[RAM] RAM Ratings affirms Cahya Mata Sarawak's AA3 ratings

RAM Ratings has affirmed the AA3/Stable rating of Cahya Mata Sarawak Berhad’s (Cahya Mata or the Group) RM2.0 bil Islamic MTN Programme (2017/2037) and the Group’s AA3/Stable/P1 corporate credit ratings. The affirmations reflect our expectations that the Group will gradually improve its operating performance and keep its financial profile robust. 

Given Cahya Mata’s strong foothold in Sarawak’s cement industry, it is a direct beneficiary of the state’s expanding economy and infrastructure development. The Group’s top line in FY Dec 2022 and 9M FY Dec 2023 advanced to a respective RM1.01 bil and RM868.09 mil (FY Dec 2021: RM814.55 mil) as a result. Pre-tax earnings after adjusting for one-off items nonetheless were weaker y-o-y at RM200.22 mil and RM98.28 mil for the said periods (FY Dec 2021: RM250.50 mil), weighed down by the hefty pre-operating costs of Cahya Mata’s new phosphates manufacturing division and lower share of associates’ profits. The lower earnings coupled with higher working capital and taxes led to an operating cashflow (OCF) deficit for 9M FY Dec 2023. 

Cahya Mata’s operating performance and earnings are anticipated to gradually improve moving forward, anchored by its favourable market positioning which will benefit from the state government’s increasing development spending. In view of the expected rise in cement demand, the Group will add a new RM750 mil clinker plant that will reduce or eliminate the need for more expensive imported clinker. We envisage the plant to improve its margins and strengthen its positioning against potential new competitors.

In the meantime, the operations and progress towards the commercialisation of the phosphates manufacturing division remain on hold. Cahya Mata is currently engaged in arbitration proceedings with Syarikat SESCO Berhad (SESCO) over the terms of a power purchase agreement. The power supply was terminated in July 2023, arising from the ongoing legal dispute with SESCO. Although we are positive about the division’s earnings potential, the continued stoppage of operations will prolong losses and may result in impairments. We estimate the Group to incur between RM80 mil to RM100 mil of losses per annum while it may also be liable for hefty one-off costs in excess of the RM266 mil of contingent liabilities as at end-December 2022. We will reassess the impact when there is more clarity on resolution of the dispute.

Cahya Mata’s prudent management of debts and divestment of non-core assets have allowed it to keep its financial profile robust despite temporarily weaker debt coverage. A strong balance sheet provides a buffer to face headwinds stemming from the phosphates manufacturing segment and gear up for significant capital expenditure for the cement business. Total debts are expected to rise to about RM1 bil by end-2025 from RM419.58 mil as at end-September 2023. We forecast Cahya Mata’s financial profile to remain strong over the next two years, with gearing and net gearing staying below a respective 0.35 times and 0.25 times (end-September 2023: net cash). OCF debt coverage (including contributions from joint ventures and an associate) is estimated to improve to above 0.20 times in the same period although a one-off dip is possible, depending on the resolution of the dispute with SESCO.

Cahya Mata’s heavy reliance on Sarawak’s economy, a lack of geographical diversification and the Group’s cyclical core businesses are ratings moderators. Other than construction-related sectors, the Group’s stakes in communication-related business contribute 10% to 25% of pre-tax earnings. It expects earnings from the drilling fluids and drilling waste management businesses to become more meaningful over the longer term. Following the revamping of its board and senior management composition in 2021 owing to governance gaps, Cahya Mata’s board continues to improve internal controls and risk management.


Analytical contacts
Ben Inn
(603) 3385 2510
ben@ram.com.my

Thong Mun Wai
(603) 3385 2522
munwai@ram.com.my